Monday, May 3, 2010
Cold War Reflections from a Man who was There
Saturday, May 1, 2010
The U-2 Spy Plane Incident 50 Years Later - Francis Gary Powers, Coward or Hero? Was Khrushchev Drunk at the Summit? What Happened in Ike's Cabinet?
The “Hidden Hand” Slips:
An investigation into the U-2 crisis and the Eisenhower Administration, with updates from recently released Soviet files
ByRob Nikolewski
“Even now … not everything connected with the U-2’s last mission can be explained from the standpoint of normal human logic.”
Sergei Khrushchev, September, 2000
Introduction
In late spring of 1960, Dwight David Eisenhower had every reason to think his presidency might conclude on a glorious note, reminiscent of the way his tenure as Supreme Allied Commander during World War II had ended. After years of Cold War tensions between the
A stateside visit by Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev proved promising. Though still prone to his characteristic bluff and bluster, Khrushchev warmed to the American people and, just as significantly, found Eisenhower to be “a lover of peace.” The two leaders had spent a considerable amount of time together at Camp David, where Khrushchev extended an invitation to the American president to visit the
Eisenhower accepted and, with a summit meeting in
As a young man at
No example represented that better than Ike’s gamble that the weather on the coast of
The U-2 is Developed
In 1955, the Cold War seemed to be at its most bitter. In an effort to reduce tensions, Eisenhower introduced his Open Skies proposal, an inspection system that called for planes of the opposing blocs to fly over their adversaries’ territories in order to monitor their respective defense capabilities. Eisenhower brought up the issue to Soviet Marshal Georgi Zhukov, who indicated that he liked the idea but Khrushchev came down firmly against it and despite repeated entreaties to reconsider, the Soviet premier refused to budge. His stance convinced many military experts in the
As it turned out, the Soviets had nothing like that. More than forty years later, Khrushchev’s son, Sergei, wrote that Khrushchev rejected Open Skies, not so much because the Soviet leader wanted to keep the West from seeing how many nuclear warheads the Soviets possessed, but to keep the West from finding out his real secret – just how few weapons Khrushchev actually had at his disposal. “Father feared that the West might be tempted to launch a nuclear strike if it learned how weak its opponent really was,” the younger Khrushchev said.
In fact, according to a recently published book in which authors Aleksander Fursenko and Timothy Naftali had access to reams of previously unreleased Soviet documents, the Soviets in 1960 only had “about 4 [ICBMs] and expected a mere handful more in 1960.” But, as in so many other instances in Cold War relations, one side presumed the worst of the other, so Eisenhower and the
The U-2 made its maiden flight over the
Almost from the moment the U-2 entered Soviet airspace, it was spotted by the Russians. But while US officials may have been wrong about radar detection, they were right about something else: the U-2 flew so high the Soviets could not shoot it down. Soviet officials informed Khrushchev of the foreign plane’s presence and the Soviets’ inability to shoot it down just as the Soviet leader was preparing for the reception at the US Embassy.
Rather than canceling the invitation, Khrushchev attended the event, and even chatted with US Ambassador Charles Bohlen, who later recalled that Khrushchev “revealed nothing at the reception and joked and chatted, even though he was fuming inside.”
It was only the beginning. For more than three years, U-2 flights passed over sensitive Soviet military installations. Each time, Soviet defense forces tracked the flights by radar and tried to shoot the planes down but never could. Khrushchev was informed of each flight and subsequent Soviet failure, but he never complained to
Besides his understandable anger over the repeated incursions, Khrushchev felt personally offended. It was bad enough that the U-2 authorized the flights on a regular basis but the inability of Soviet military to shoot down the spy plane only made Khrushchev more and more furious. Through it all, he said nothing. “Father didn’t want to give his hosts the satisfaction of hearing him beg them not to peer into his bedroom,” Sergei Khrushchev later wrote. Instead, the Soviet leader seethed and waited for a chance to get even.
The Soviets Shoot Down the U-2
In a strange twist, the final U-2 flight came on another holiday, this time on the Russian calendar. It was on May Day, when the Soviets traditionally paraded their military might before their citizens and the rest of the world.
On May 1, 1960, just fifteen days before the
A little more than halfway though the scheduled flight Powers’ plane went down. To this day, it is still not clear what caused the U-2 to crash. The most common theory holds that a Soviet missile exploded behind the plane and the U-2, made of lightweight material, broke apart from the concussion. Powers maintained that the force of the blow shoved him forward in the cockpit. Concerned that ejecting from the plane would shear off his legs, Powers managed to climb out of the cockpit and threw himself towards the fuselage.
The U-2 was equipped with a device that could destroy the plane’s photographic equipment, but the pilot could only activate it manually. Powers said he tried grabbing the switch but could not reach it. With the plane hurtling towards the ground, he disconnected his oxygen hoses and jumped. His parachute worked perfectly and Powers landed roughly – but safely – onto a field where three bewildered Russians in a passing car found Powers and helped him collect his billowing parachute silks.
The
“Bill Bailey didn’t come home.” That was CIA code for a U-2 pilot who did not arrive at his appointed destination and that was the message delivered to CIA deputy director Richard Bissell on May 1. Eisenhower, staying at
First, at the time administration officials did not know if the plane had gone down over the
After nearly two days, the
The Americans made their next move. While Eisenhower preferred sticking to the NASA cover story and saying nothing more, Secretary of State Christian Herter and other advisers pressed him to release another statement. Eisenhower relented and the administration released a second story, conjecturing that since the pilot had been experiencing oxygen problems, perhaps he had lost consciousness and strayed into Soviet airspace.
On May 7, Khrushchev threw down his trump card. As Fursenko and Naftali described it, Khrushchev, “squeezing out every ounce of drama,” told the Supreme Soviet that not only had their defense forces shot down the U-2, but that they had captured the American pilot, who was “alive and kicking” and in the hands of Soviet authorities. While the assembly exploded in shouts and applause, Khrushchev, with a melodramatic flourish, waved aerial photographs purportedly taken by the pilot. The pictures turned out to be fakes but the gesture achieved its desired theatrical effect. Khrushchev then went a step further, saying, “I am quite willing to grant that the President knew nothing about the fact that such a plane was sent into the Soviet Union” and speculated that CIA and Pentagon “militarists” looking to torpedo the upcoming
In
With the
Khrushchev was furious. By saying that he presumed that Eisenhower did not know of the U-2 incursion, the Soviet premier believed he had offered the president an out – admit your ignorance to the flight and save the
After poring over recently released files, Fursenko and Naftali believe that the Soviet premier “suspected that Allen Dulles, the director of central intelligence, had intentionally ordered the U-2 mission to disrupt the improvement of relations between Eisenhower and him.” By taking responsibility for the U-2 flight, Eisenhower may have taken some measure of responsibility in the eyes of the American public but he had inadvertently put Khrushchev in a corner.
Hardliners inside the Kremlin had long criticized Khrushchev for taking a too conciliatory approach to Eisenhower and now, with the
The
Just four days after Eisenhower’s news conference, Khrushchev arrived in
The next morning, the summit officially started. Eisenhower had previously met with Charles de Gaulle and had told the French president that he wanted to read a brief statement once the summit was convened “so that I might promptly reply to the accusations already put before my two Western associates.” In Eisenhower’s opening remarks, he would not offer an apology, but promised to never again to send the U-2 over the
After the French president made some perfunctory remarks to open the session, he then asked, “Does anyone therefore wish to say anything?” Eisenhower prepared to speak but before he could utter a word, Khrushchev sprang to his feet, saying he wanted the floor. De Gaulle said Eisenhower should speak first, but Khrushchev objected: “I was the first to ask for the floor and I would like my request to be granted.” According to Michael Beschloss in his 1986 book Mayday: Eisenhower, Khrushchev and the Cold War, De Gaulle turned to Eisenhower, who “nodded with faint disgust.”
Khrushchev took the moment by the throat, going on a 45-minute diatribe about the U-2 incident, enunciating his three demands while inveighing against the sinister attempt by the
After a rough first day, de Gaulle and British Prime Minister Harold Macmillan met privately with Khrushchev, urging him not to scuttle the summit on the specific grounds of a personal apology and on the general grounds of intelligence gathering. All countries spy on one another, de Gaulle had told Khrushchev before the summit had even begun and, besides, Macmillan added, “There are microphones hidden in every embassy …. So let’s not be hypocrites.”
As Soviet diplomat Anatoly Dobrinyn recalled in his memoirs years later, Macmillan practically pleaded with Khrushchev that the Soviet leader was putting Eisenhower in an impossible position. “But try to understand,” Macmillan said, “Can a head of state censure himself and his nation?” Khrushchev replied, “We want to condemn the guilty.” Barely a day old, the summit was about to collapse.
The next day, Eisenhower reiterated his position. He would not accept a Soviet ultimatum. De Gaulle set up a meeting for the principals at 3 p.m. but Khrushchev had spent the morning sightseeing with defense minister Rodion Malinovsky in the
Eisenhower was so angry with Khrushchev he could not even utter his name, simply calling the Soviet leader “this man.” For Khrushchev, the feeling was mutual. During a farewell visit with de Gaulle, Khrushchev called Eisenhower “a second-rate fellow, a pawn in the hands of his services, incapable of commanding.”
Analyzing the
In the aftermath of the collapse, Eisenhower and many American officials maintained their belief that Khrushchev had already planned to undermine the summit in
There is some justification for this school of thought. Khrushchev was under extreme pressure from hardliners inside the Kremlin to take a more aggressive tack. Months earlier, he had announced that the
There was also pressure from Mao Zedong, who felt that the Soviets under Khrushchev were not sufficiently loyal to communist ideology. Serious strains had developed between the Mao and Khrushchev, and the Chinese were fast on their way towards developing their own atomic weapons. So perhaps Khrushchev came to
Others felt that Khrushchev came to
Longtime Soviet ambassador Anatoly Dobrynin, in his 1995 memoirs, sees Khrushchev’s actions as a combination of personal anger and, ultimately, a miscalculation. Dobrynin believed that while the Soviet leader had every justification for being angry with Eisenhower, Khrushchev overreached by demanding a personal apology. Dobrynin wrote that Khrushchev was convinced that Eisenhower would not let the summit collapse and would simply fire a general or high-ranking intelligence official “who had gone too far.” If that was his strategy, Khrushchev badly misread Eisenhower. Years later, Dobrynin recalled the scene at
But ultimately, it was the downing of the U-2 that created the circumstances for the summit to collapse and therefore, a close examination is required of the decision-making process inside the Eisenhower administration. Authorizing a spy plane flight so close to the summit was certainly a risky – some would argue reckless – thing to do, but upon further examination, Eisenhower had his reasons.
Just as Khrushchev was under fire from hardliners inside the Kremlin, Eisenhower was feeling intense pressure from opposition Democrats and hard-right Republicans for supposedly allowing the Russians to establish a “missile gap.” They believed the Soviets had been rapidly developing a lopsided advantage in nuclear weapons that justified a large increase in
Eisenhower also felt mounting pressure from officials in his own administration who pushed him to authorize more U-2 reconnaissance flights. Dulles and Bissell were confident that the Soviets could not shoot the plane down and, in their defense, in the plane’s twenty-three previous flights before May 1, 1960, the Soviets had not. In fact, there was no evidence to think the Soviets had even come close to knocking the U-2 out of the sky. Was there really a credible risk in authorizing a twenty-fourth flight? Dulles made a persuasive argument to counter Eisenhower’s concerns, which Michael Beschloss summarized neatly in his book Mayday: Eisenhower, Khrushchev and the U-2 Affair: “Allen Dulles later noted that in times of tension, people said that ‘flights should be stopped because they increase tension. In times of sweetness and light, they should not be run because it would disturb any ‘honeymoon’ in our relations with the
Yet while the administration can, even in retrospect, make a credible defense for green-lighting a U-2 mission so close to the summit, there appears to be practically no excuse for the lack of a credible contingency plan should a plane go down. Bissell had only one plan in place in case of mission failure – the cover story regarding a weather plane that NASA put out on May 3. But there were no plans in place in the event that a) the pilot survived, b) the plane and some of its sensitive equipment managed to remain intact after a crash, or c) both the pilot and the equipment made it through relatively unscathed. Most damning, there were plenty of examples to indicate that such scenarios could happen.
During the plane’s testing phase, a number of pilots had survived U-2 mishaps. As for the equipment surviving, the U-2 had a history of flameouts, in which the plane rapidly lost altitude, requiring the pilot to attempt to restart the aircraft at a much lower altitude. Naturally, if the U-2 were to crash at its normal cruising altitude of 70,000 feet, the chances of the plane disintegrating on impact were quite good. But if the plane crashed at half that altitude, the possibility of an adversary finding something of value became much more likely.
Despite all that, Bissell and Dulles had no other contingency plan beyond the presumption that the pilot would be killed and that the aircraft and its valuable photographic images would be reduced to useless rubble. Eisenhower had raised his concerns prior to the U-2’s inaugural launch in 1956, but Dulles had “absolutely, categorical[ly]” assured the president the pilot would not survive a U-2 crash. Even at the remove of some twenty-five years since the U-2 incident, Eisenhower’s son John, who was also a presidential advisor at the time, “got into a war dance” when reflecting on the poor advice he felt the president had received.
Compounding matters, issuing and retracting multiple cover stories severely wounded the administration’s credibility. “The big error we made,” Eisenhower said in his memoirs, “was, of course, in the issuance of a premature and erroneous cover story.” Eisenhower may be guilty here of selective memory in this case because the administration did not issue one false cover story, it issued three, and that does not even count Eisenhower’s own news conference in which he asserted that he had authorized the U-2 flight himself. “Eisenhower’s instincts were to stick to the NASA cover story and not say any more,” the Russian authors Fursenko and Naftali believe, but time and again, his advisers pressed him to authorize a new statement.
With Khrushchev skillfully playing his hand,
During this time, John Eisenhower told his father that he believed Dulles should be fired. And while it is true that Eisenhower was badly served by his advisors during the U-2 crisis, it should be pointed out that the president himself signed off all the critical decisions – beginning with the authorization of the May 1 flight itself. The ultimate responsibility lay with Eisenhower and, in all likelihood, he knew that better than anyone else. As the U-2 cover stories unraveled and the
Aftermath
The entire history of the Cold War was filled with ironies and the U-2 incident was rife with them. Eisenhower and Khrushchev each genuinely wanted to ease superpower tensions and harbored optimism that the two adversaries could develop better relations. But when the spy plane incident unraveled, the two sides’ mutual distrust and secrecy kept them from realizing those goals.
Coming from a political culture where paranoia was literally equivalent to survival, Khrushchev was thoroughly convinced that the
While Eisenhower understood the negative implications of a potential U-2 downing to a much greater degree than Bissell or Dulles ever did, the American president never quite grasped how much the repeated incursions over Soviet airspace infuriated Khrushchev. More than its political implications, every U-2 flight over the
But Khrushchev perceived Eisenhower’s admission as an insult. In Khrushchev’s mind, the Soviet premier had offered the president a perfectly reasonable deal: simply admit you knew nothing of the flight, fire some subordinates, and we can do business at the
This fundamental misunderstanding is underscored by an observation Henry Kissinger once made about the Cold War in general, when he said that the
In the summit’s aftermath, Khrushchev simply waited to see who would succeed Eisenhower. The Soviet premier recalled in his memoirs that upon meeting John Kennedy in
Francis Gary Powers was released in 1962 in a prisoner exchange. His return to the
Perhaps the most intriguing question centers on what may have been accomplished at the
Research into previously unreleased files by Fursenko and Naftali indicate what the Soviets had actually planned to offer if the summit had gone as scheduled. Their book, Khrushchev’s Cold War, speculated that the Kremlin intended to take a hard line on Berlin and disarmament, which led the authors to believe that the chances of a diplomatic breakthrough would have been remote, although they proffer that simply holding a summit “where the Soviet Union would have been treated as an equal might have alleviated the fears of the mercurial Soviet leader. The aftermath of the U-2 incident, however, made this impossible to know.”
After the summit collapse, Eisenhower flew back to
Meanwhile, a half a world away, workers put the finishing touches on a hunting lodge. Built along the shore of majestic